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Scruff AI
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_analyze_continuous.py
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@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ FIELD_FEATURES = [
"vorticity_mean", "vel_mean", "vel_max", "vel_var",
]
VARIABLES = ["signed_flow_usd", "vwap_drift", "wallet_entropy"]
HORIZONS = [60, 240]
HORIZONS = [60, 240, 720, 1440]
def find_run(arg: str) -> Path:
_decile_backtest.py
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"""_decile_backtest.py
Decile-portfolio analysis on raw single-variable signals.
For each candidate variable and each horizon:
- bucket minutes into 10 deciles by variable value
- compute mean |fwd_return| per decile, also mean signed return, hit rate
- report top vs bottom decile ratio and t-stat
- report a simple "trade top decile" backtest: take a unit-vol position
every minute that is in the top decile, hold for h minutes, count
cost-adjusted return
NO LATTICE. Raw HL minute data only.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import glob
from pathlib import Path
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
DATA_GLOB = "/mnt/d/PaperTrader/research/hl_data/minutes/202603*"
VARIABLES = [
"trade_count",
"wallet_entropy",
"taker_buy_usd",
"taker_sell_usd",
"vwap_drift", # direction signal — handled differently
]
HORIZONS = [5, 15, 30, 60, 120]
# round-trip cost in basis points (entry + exit + slippage estimate)
COST_BPS_PER_TRADE = 5.0 # 0.05% per side = 10bps round trip; halved here
COST_ROUND_TRIP = COST_BPS_PER_TRADE * 2 / 10000.0 # 0.001 = 0.1%
def load_btc() -> pd.DataFrame:
dfs = []
for d in sorted(glob.glob(DATA_GLOB)):
for f in sorted(glob.glob(f"{d}/*.parquet")):
try:
df = pd.read_parquet(f)
except Exception:
continue
if "coin" in df.columns:
df = df[df["coin"] == "BTC"]
if len(df):
dfs.append(df)
df = pd.concat(dfs, ignore_index=True)
df = df.sort_values("minute").drop_duplicates("minute").reset_index(drop=True)
return df
def add_forward_returns(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
p = df["mid_price"].astype(float).values
for h in HORIZONS:
future = pd.Series(p).shift(-h).values
fwd = (future - p) / p
df[f"fwd_{h}"] = fwd
df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"] = np.abs(fwd)
return df
def decile_table(df: pd.DataFrame, var: str, h: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
x = df[var].astype(float)
y_abs = df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"]
y_sgn = df[f"fwd_{h}"]
mask = x.notna() & y_abs.notna() & np.isfinite(x) & np.isfinite(y_abs)
sub = pd.DataFrame({"x": x[mask].values, "abs": y_abs[mask].values, "sgn": y_sgn[mask].values})
# rank-based decile (handles ties + sparse values)
sub["dec"] = pd.qcut(sub["x"].rank(method="first"), 10, labels=False)
g = sub.groupby("dec").agg(
n=("x", "size"),
x_mean=("x", "mean"),
abs_mean=("abs", "mean"),
abs_med=("abs", "median"),
sgn_mean=("sgn", "mean"),
)
return g
def t_stat_top_vs_bottom(df: pd.DataFrame, var: str, h: int) -> tuple[float, float, float, int, int]:
"""Returns (top_mean_abs, bot_mean_abs, t_stat, n_top, n_bot)."""
x = df[var].astype(float)
y_abs = df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"]
mask = x.notna() & y_abs.notna() & np.isfinite(x) & np.isfinite(y_abs)
xv = x[mask].values
yv = y_abs[mask].values
# top/bottom decile cutoffs by rank
n = len(xv)
order = np.argsort(xv, kind="stable")
cutoff = n // 10
bot_idx = order[:cutoff]
top_idx = order[-cutoff:]
bot_y = yv[bot_idx]
top_y = yv[top_idx]
top_mean = top_y.mean()
bot_mean = bot_y.mean()
pooled_var = (top_y.var(ddof=1) / len(top_y)) + (bot_y.var(ddof=1) / len(bot_y))
t = (top_mean - bot_mean) / np.sqrt(pooled_var) if pooled_var > 0 else 0.0
return top_mean, bot_mean, t, len(top_y), len(bot_y)
def vol_timing_backtest(df: pd.DataFrame, var: str, h: int) -> dict:
"""Strategy: when variable is in top decile, take a long-straddle-equivalent
position. PnL proxy = |fwd_return| - cost. (Cannot trade directionless without
a direction signal, but |return| - cost > 0 means a straddle would be net positive.)"""
x = df[var].astype(float)
y_abs = df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"]
mask = x.notna() & y_abs.notna() & np.isfinite(x) & np.isfinite(y_abs)
xv = x[mask].values
yv = y_abs[mask].values
n = len(xv)
threshold = np.quantile(xv, 0.9)
sig = xv >= threshold
trade_returns = yv[sig] - COST_ROUND_TRIP
return {
"n_signals": int(sig.sum()),
"fire_rate_pct": float(sig.mean() * 100),
"mean_abs_ret_top10pct": float(yv[sig].mean()),
"mean_abs_ret_all": float(yv.mean()),
"ratio_top_vs_all": float(yv[sig].mean() / yv.mean()) if yv.mean() > 0 else float("nan"),
"net_after_cost_per_trade_bps": float(trade_returns.mean() * 10000),
"sharpe_naive": float(trade_returns.mean() / trade_returns.std()) if trade_returns.std() > 0 else 0.0,
}
def directional_backtest(df: pd.DataFrame, var: str, h: int, low_q: float = 0.1, high_q: float = 0.9) -> dict:
"""Directional signal: long top decile, short bottom decile. Sign of fwd_return matters."""
x = df[var].astype(float)
y_sgn = df[f"fwd_{h}"]
mask = x.notna() & y_sgn.notna() & np.isfinite(x) & np.isfinite(y_sgn)
xv = x[mask].values
yv = y_sgn[mask].values
lo = np.quantile(xv, low_q)
hi = np.quantile(xv, high_q)
long_mask = xv >= hi
short_mask = xv <= lo
long_ret = yv[long_mask].mean() if long_mask.sum() else 0.0
short_ret = -yv[short_mask].mean() if short_mask.sum() else 0.0
n_trades = int(long_mask.sum() + short_mask.sum())
avg_gross = (long_ret + short_ret) / 2
avg_net = avg_gross - COST_ROUND_TRIP
return {
"n_trades": n_trades,
"long_mean_ret_bps": float(long_ret * 10000),
"short_mean_ret_bps": float(short_ret * 10000),
"avg_gross_bps": float(avg_gross * 10000),
"avg_net_bps_after_cost": float(avg_net * 10000),
"long_hit_rate_pct": float((yv[long_mask] > 0).mean() * 100) if long_mask.sum() else 0.0,
"short_hit_rate_pct": float((yv[short_mask] < 0).mean() * 100) if short_mask.sum() else 0.0,
}
def main():
print("loading BTC minutes from", DATA_GLOB)
df = load_btc()
print(f"loaded {len(df)} unique minutes")
df = add_forward_returns(df)
pd.set_option("display.width", 200)
pd.set_option("display.float_format", "{:+.4f}".format)
# === MAGNITUDE / VOL-TIMING ANALYSIS ===
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("VOL-TIMING DECILE ANALYSIS (target = |fwd_return|)")
print("="*80)
print(f"\nround-trip cost assumed = {COST_ROUND_TRIP*10000:.1f}bps")
for var in ["trade_count", "wallet_entropy", "taker_buy_usd", "taker_sell_usd"]:
print(f"\n--- {var} ---")
for h in HORIZONS:
tbl = decile_table(df, var, h)
top_mean, bot_mean, t, n_top, n_bot = t_stat_top_vs_bottom(df, var, h)
bt = vol_timing_backtest(df, var, h)
print(f" h={h:>4}min "
f"top_dec_|ret|={top_mean*10000:7.1f}bps "
f"bot_dec_|ret|={bot_mean*10000:6.1f}bps "
f"ratio={top_mean/bot_mean if bot_mean>0 else 0:5.2f}x "
f"t={t:6.2f} "
f"net_after_cost={bt['net_after_cost_per_trade_bps']:+6.1f}bps "
f"sharpe_naive={bt['sharpe_naive']:+.3f}")
if h == 60:
print(f" decile table (h=60):")
for d, row in tbl.iterrows():
print(f" dec {int(d):2d} n={int(row['n']):5d} "
f"x_mean={row['x_mean']:+12.3g} "
f"|ret|_mean={row['abs_mean']*10000:6.1f}bps "
f"|ret|_med={row['abs_med']*10000:6.1f}bps "
f"signed_ret={row['sgn_mean']*10000:+6.1f}bps")
# === DIRECTIONAL ANALYSIS ===
print("\n" + "="*80)
print("DIRECTIONAL DECILE ANALYSIS (target = signed fwd_return, long top / short bottom)")
print("="*80)
print(f"\nround-trip cost assumed = {COST_ROUND_TRIP*10000:.1f}bps")
for var in ["vwap_drift", "trade_count", "wallet_entropy"]:
print(f"\n--- {var} ---")
for h in HORIZONS:
d = directional_backtest(df, var, h)
print(f" h={h:>4}min "
f"long_ret={d['long_mean_ret_bps']:+6.1f}bps "
f"(hit {d['long_hit_rate_pct']:4.1f}%) "
f"short_ret={d['short_mean_ret_bps']:+6.1f}bps "
f"(hit {d['short_hit_rate_pct']:4.1f}%) "
f"gross={d['avg_gross_bps']:+6.1f}bps "
f"NET={d['avg_net_bps_after_cost']:+6.1f}bps "
f"n={d['n_trades']:>5}")
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()
_univariate_horizon_sweep.py
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"""_univariate_horizon_sweep.py
For each candidate variable, compute correlation with |fwd_return| and
sign(fwd_return) across a horizon band. No lattice, no Ridge, no z-score
rolling. Just raw Pearson and Spearman on cleaned BTC minute data.
The point: find the horizon BAND each variable lives in, not a single number.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import glob
from pathlib import Path
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from scipy.stats import pearsonr, spearmanr
DATA_GLOB = "/mnt/d/PaperTrader/research/hl_data/minutes/202603*"
VARIABLES = [
"trade_count",
"taker_buy_usd",
"taker_sell_usd",
"large_print_cnt",
"wallet_entropy",
"signed_flow_usd", # for sanity / comparison
"vwap_drift", # for sanity / comparison
]
HORIZONS = [5, 15, 30, 60, 120, 240, 480, 720, 1440, 2880]
def load_btc() -> pd.DataFrame:
dfs = []
for d in sorted(glob.glob(DATA_GLOB)):
for f in sorted(glob.glob(f"{d}/*.parquet")):
try:
df = pd.read_parquet(f)
except Exception:
continue
if "coin" in df.columns:
df = df[df["coin"] == "BTC"]
if len(df):
dfs.append(df)
df = pd.concat(dfs, ignore_index=True)
df = df.sort_values("minute").drop_duplicates("minute").reset_index(drop=True)
return df
def add_forward_returns(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
p = df["mid_price"].astype(float).values
for h in HORIZONS:
future = pd.Series(p).shift(-h).values
fwd = (future - p) / p
df[f"fwd_{h}"] = fwd
df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"] = np.abs(fwd)
return df
def corr_table(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""For each (variable, horizon) compute Pearson and Spearman vs
|fwd_return| and sign(fwd_return). Only on rows where both are finite."""
rows = []
for v in VARIABLES:
if v not in df.columns:
print(f" WARN: {v} missing from data")
continue
x_full = df[v].astype(float)
for h in HORIZONS:
y_abs = df[f"abs_fwd_{h}"]
y_sgn = np.sign(df[f"fwd_{h}"])
mask = x_full.notna() & y_abs.notna() & np.isfinite(x_full) & np.isfinite(y_abs)
x = x_full[mask].values
ya = y_abs[mask].values
ys = y_sgn[mask].values
if len(x) < 1000:
continue
try:
p_abs, _ = pearsonr(x, ya)
s_abs, _ = spearmanr(x, ya)
p_sgn, _ = pearsonr(x, ys)
s_sgn, _ = spearmanr(x, ys)
except Exception:
continue
rows.append({
"variable": v,
"h_min": h,
"n": len(x),
"pearson_abs": p_abs,
"spearman_abs": s_abs,
"pearson_sign": p_sgn,
"spearman_sign": s_sgn,
})
return pd.DataFrame(rows)
def main():
print("loading BTC minutes from", DATA_GLOB)
df = load_btc()
print(f"loaded {len(df)} unique minutes")
print("columns:", list(df.columns))
df = add_forward_returns(df)
print("\n=== sample variable stats ===")
for v in VARIABLES:
if v in df.columns:
s = df[v].astype(float)
n_zero = int((s == 0).sum())
print(f" {v:<20} mean={s.mean():+.4g} std={s.std():+.4g} "
f"min={s.min():+.4g} max={s.max():+.4g} zeros={n_zero}/{len(s)}")
tbl = corr_table(df)
pd.set_option("display.width", 200)
pd.set_option("display.max_rows", None)
pd.set_option("display.float_format", "{:+.4f}".format)
print("\n=== |fwd_return| correlations (Pearson) ===")
pivot_p = tbl.pivot(index="variable", columns="h_min", values="pearson_abs")
pivot_p = pivot_p.reindex(VARIABLES)
print(pivot_p.to_string())
print("\n=== |fwd_return| correlations (Spearman) ===")
pivot_s = tbl.pivot(index="variable", columns="h_min", values="spearman_abs")
pivot_s = pivot_s.reindex(VARIABLES)
print(pivot_s.to_string())
print("\n=== sign(fwd_return) correlations (Pearson) ===")
pivot_sgn = tbl.pivot(index="variable", columns="h_min", values="pearson_sign")
pivot_sgn = pivot_sgn.reindex(VARIABLES)
print(pivot_sgn.to_string())
print("\n=== sign(fwd_return) correlations (Spearman) ===")
pivot_sgn_s = tbl.pivot(index="variable", columns="h_min", values="spearman_sign")
pivot_sgn_s = pivot_sgn_s.reindex(VARIABLES)
print(pivot_sgn_s.to_string())
# Save raw table
out = Path("/mnt/d/Resonance_Engine/traj/univariate_sweep.csv")
tbl.to_csv(out, index=False)
print(f"\nsaved: {out}")
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()
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fractonaut_chronicle.jsonl
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{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:31:16Z", "turn": 946, "cycle": 4803500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4803500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.9W util=25%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529300 0.525830 +0.008000 0.010300\nasymmetry 289.198400 294.120147 -12.634400 14.102100\nvel_mean 0.222296 0.221093 +0.001804 0.004198\nvel_max 0.284240 0.285753 -0.002479 0.009188\nvel_var 0.002356 0.002443 -0.000077 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.026349 0.027825 -0.005347 0.011071\nstress_xx -0.001071 -0.001011 -0.000068 0.000242\nstress_yy 0.000972 0.000959 +0.000024 0.000228\nstress_xy -0.000366 -0.000360 -0.000025 0.000186\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4773500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4768500.\n\n[cycle 4778500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4773500.\n\n[cycle 4783500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4778500.\n\n[cycle 4788500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4783500.\n\n[cycle 4793500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4788500.\n\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:32:24Z", "turn": 947, "cycle": 4808500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4808500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.4W util=21%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.509600 0.503150 -0.008300 0.026600\nasymmetry 338.248600 345.349272 +22.618000 54.021100\nvel_mean 0.222712 0.221078 -0.000084 0.004287\nvel_max 0.284231 0.285836 -0.001451 0.011835\nvel_var 0.002354 0.002445 -0.000008 0.000347\nvorticity_mean 0.022294 0.027853 -0.002360 0.011209\nstress_xx -0.000950 -0.001052 +0.000178 0.000283\nstress_yy 0.001078 0.001023 +0.000065 0.000263\nstress_xy -0.000367 -0.000366 +0.000017 0.000179\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4778500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4773500.\n\n[cycle 4783500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4778500.\n\n[cycle 4788500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4783500.\n\n[cycle 4793500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4788500.\n\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:33:34Z", "turn": 948, "cycle": 4813500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4813500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.9W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530900 0.529343 +0.001300 0.003300\nasymmetry 310.182100 311.108190 -0.736200 2.052800\nvel_mean 0.220439 0.221052 -0.001964 0.004200\nvel_max 0.285175 0.285555 +0.000624 0.007452\nvel_var 0.002514 0.002444 +0.000174 0.000351\nvorticity_mean 0.026710 0.027882 +0.003818 0.011168\nstress_xx -0.001060 -0.001042 -0.000056 0.000303\nstress_yy 0.000973 0.001006 -0.000079 0.000184\nstress_xy -0.000338 -0.000355 +0.000010 0.000144\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4783500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4778500.\n\n[cycle 4788500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4783500.\n\n[cycle 4793500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4788500.\n\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:34:40Z", "turn": 949, "cycle": 4818500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4818500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.9W util=22%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529600 0.529795 -0.001300 0.003300\nasymmetry 311.010300 310.891682 +0.798400 2.030700\nvel_mean 0.219201 0.221065 -0.000720 0.004188\nvel_max 0.285704 0.285402 +0.000076 0.006287\nvel_var 0.002539 0.002443 -0.000019 0.000346\nvorticity_mean 0.032589 0.027846 +0.004382 0.011131\nstress_xx -0.000962 -0.001036 +0.000188 0.000288\nstress_yy 0.000865 0.000991 -0.000168 0.000201\nstress_xy -0.000306 -0.000362 +0.000104 0.000157\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4788500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4783500.\n\n[cycle 4793500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4788500.\n\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:35:50Z", "turn": 950, "cycle": 4823500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4823500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.3W util=25%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528700 0.529813 -0.000700 0.003300\nasymmetry 311.629900 310.943129 +0.325400 2.052700\nvel_mean 0.220628 0.221067 +0.001308 0.004165\nvel_max 0.286758 0.285463 -0.000036 0.007288\nvel_var 0.002428 0.002443 -0.000109 0.000339\nvorticity_mean 0.031472 0.027828 -0.001692 0.011108\nstress_xx -0.001098 -0.001044 -0.000066 0.000268\nstress_yy 0.000965 0.000985 +0.000049 0.000213\nstress_xy -0.000419 -0.000372 -0.000027 0.000177\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4793500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4788500.\n\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:36:58Z", "turn": 951, "cycle": 4828500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4828500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.7W util=24%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529700 0.529822 +0.000200 0.003100\nasymmetry 311.062100 311.005762 -0.118800 1.925600\nvel_mean 0.222752 0.221049 +0.001445 0.004200\nvel_max 0.284453 0.285434 -0.001770 0.007094\nvel_var 0.002361 0.002445 -0.000040 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.024428 0.027864 -0.005703 0.011178\nstress_xx -0.000970 -0.001041 +0.000109 0.000273\nstress_yy 0.000990 0.000999 +0.000017 0.000212\nstress_xy -0.000340 -0.000361 +0.000086 0.000168\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4798500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4793500.\n\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:38:08Z", "turn": 952, "cycle": 4833500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4833500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.4W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530500 0.529797 +0.001000 0.003200\nasymmetry 310.707500 311.096422 -0.623400 1.963600\nvel_mean 0.222253 0.221045 -0.000988 0.004187\nvel_max 0.284731 0.285442 +0.000096 0.008214\nvel_var 0.002359 0.002445 +0.000093 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.023046 0.027890 -0.000345 0.011074\nstress_xx -0.001034 -0.001035 -0.000010 0.000279\nstress_yy 0.000981 0.001004 -0.000079 0.000149\nstress_xy -0.000327 -0.000359 +0.000041 0.000177\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4803500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4798500.\n\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:39:15Z", "turn": 953, "cycle": 4838500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4838500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.2W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530800 0.529771 +0.000300 0.003200\nasymmetry 310.552600 311.186728 -0.176500 1.995300\nvel_mean 0.219867 0.221055 -0.001416 0.004205\nvel_max 0.284040 0.285483 +0.000032 0.006945\nvel_var 0.002566 0.002444 +0.000103 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.028509 0.027873 +0.004527 0.011160\nstress_xx -0.000917 -0.001034 +0.000068 0.000281\nstress_yy 0.000962 0.000988 -0.000050 0.000189\nstress_xy -0.000330 -0.000366 -0.000008 0.000163\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4808500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4803500.\n\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:40:26Z", "turn": 954, "cycle": 4843500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4843500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.2W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529200 0.529775 -0.001200 0.003100\nasymmetry 311.698900 311.255114 +0.822500 1.942200\nvel_mean 0.219302 0.221058 -0.000545 0.004230\nvel_max 0.287484 0.285428 +0.001839 0.007642\nvel_var 0.002543 0.002444 +0.000024 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.033214 0.027841 +0.003196 0.011190\nstress_xx -0.001114 -0.001042 -0.000162 0.000259\nstress_yy 0.000985 0.000988 +0.000030 0.000212\nstress_xy -0.000349 -0.000366 -0.000015 0.000162\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4813500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4808500.\n\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:41:34Z", "turn": 955, "cycle": 4848500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4848500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.3W util=23%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529500 0.529748 -0.000300 0.003300\nasymmetry 311.477600 311.346665 +0.057200 1.959500\nvel_mean 0.221392 0.221057 +0.001922 0.004172\nvel_max 0.289096 0.285360 +0.001377 0.007875\nvel_var 0.002397 0.002445 -0.000169 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.029842 0.027842 -0.003395 0.011116\nstress_xx -0.001040 -0.001039 +0.000092 0.000299\nstress_yy 0.000982 0.001005 +0.000047 0.000193\nstress_xy -0.000310 -0.000360 +0.000107 0.000184\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4818500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4813500.\n\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:42:44Z", "turn": 956, "cycle": 4853500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4853500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.9W util=18%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529400 0.529712 +0.000600 0.003300\nasymmetry 311.695000 311.447138 -0.197700 2.018400\nvel_mean 0.223232 0.221043 +0.001239 0.004203\nvel_max 0.285007 0.285395 -0.000743 0.007432\nvel_var 0.002261 0.002445 -0.000081 0.000340\nvorticity_mean 0.023247 0.027873 -0.004876 0.011133\nstress_xx -0.000980 -0.001040 +0.000039 0.000290\nstress_yy 0.001024 0.001000 -0.000027 0.000163\nstress_xy -0.000317 -0.000362 +0.000041 0.000139\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4823500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4818500.\n\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:43:52Z", "turn": 957, "cycle": 4858500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4858500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.3W util=21%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530400 0.529668 +0.001300 0.003200\nasymmetry 311.100500 311.542681 -0.786200 1.951800\nvel_mean 0.221265 0.221044 -0.001195 0.004251\nvel_max 0.282848 0.285416 -0.000231 0.007042\nvel_var 0.002476 0.002445 +0.000106 0.000350\nvorticity_mean 0.024106 0.027886 +0.001322 0.011217\nstress_xx -0.001045 -0.001042 -0.000067 0.000270\nstress_yy 0.001022 0.000985 +0.000040 0.000184\nstress_xy -0.000389 -0.000367 -0.000040 0.000156\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4828500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4823500.\n\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:45:02Z", "turn": 958, "cycle": 4863500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4863500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.8W util=22%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530100 0.529623 -0.000500 0.003200\nasymmetry 311.411800 311.642950 +0.454200 2.024900\nvel_mean 0.219865 0.221059 -0.001174 0.004211\nvel_max 0.285209 0.285398 +0.000834 0.007258\nvel_var 0.002513 0.002445 +0.000009 0.000355\nvorticity_mean 0.030325 0.027862 +0.005386 0.011087\nstress_xx -0.001065 -0.001038 -0.000039 0.000275\nstress_yy 0.001020 0.000994 +0.000028 0.000228\nstress_xy -0.000360 -0.000365 -0.000006 0.000188\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4833500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4828500.\n\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:46:10Z", "turn": 959, "cycle": 4868500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4868500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.2W util=38%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529600 0.529686 -0.000600 0.003300\nasymmetry 311.773300 311.677373 +0.398400 1.945600\nvel_mean 0.219550 0.221054 +0.000308 0.004167\nvel_max 0.286614 0.285331 +0.000438 0.007912\nvel_var 0.002563 0.002445 -0.000036 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.033235 0.027842 +0.001622 0.011213\nstress_xx -0.001058 -0.001043 +0.000025 0.000252\nstress_yy 0.001059 0.001004 +0.000146 0.000165\nstress_xy -0.000356 -0.000362 +0.000005 0.000145\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4838500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4833500.\n\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:47:20Z", "turn": 960, "cycle": 4873500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4873500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.7W util=18%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528500 0.529666 -0.000500 0.003400\nasymmetry 312.388600 311.763123 +0.187800 1.974800\nvel_mean 0.222142 0.221047 +0.002302 0.004226\nvel_max 0.284689 0.285394 -0.002294 0.007699\nvel_var 0.002321 0.002445 -0.000154 0.000350\nvorticity_mean 0.027806 0.027855 -0.004806 0.011188\nstress_xx -0.001051 -0.001037 +0.000036 0.000287\nstress_yy 0.001008 0.000991 -0.000003 0.000181\nstress_xy -0.000394 -0.000361 -0.000073 0.000155\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4843500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4838500.\n\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:48:28Z", "turn": 961, "cycle": 4878500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4878500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.9W util=25%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529200 0.529622 +0.001000 0.003200\nasymmetry 312.161800 311.861115 -0.517000 2.009800\nvel_mean 0.222428 0.221040 -0.000161 0.004165\nvel_max 0.284747 0.285415 -0.002127 0.006663\nvel_var 0.002377 0.002445 +0.000095 0.000351\nvorticity_mean 0.022661 0.027889 -0.003646 0.011083\nstress_xx -0.001036 -0.001039 -0.000020 0.000257\nstress_yy 0.001062 0.000986 +0.000106 0.000221\nstress_xy -0.000375 -0.000367 -0.000020 0.000161\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4848500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4843500.\n\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:49:38Z", "turn": 962, "cycle": 4883500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4883500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.4W util=33%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530400 0.529576 +0.000700 0.003200\nasymmetry 311.399600 311.966411 -0.433700 1.928700\nvel_mean 0.220997 0.221048 -0.001490 0.004203\nvel_max 0.284584 0.285353 +0.001305 0.006691\nvel_var 0.002505 0.002445 +0.000091 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.025260 0.027891 +0.002881 0.011148\nstress_xx -0.000952 -0.001047 +0.000112 0.000269\nstress_yy 0.001005 0.001001 -0.000005 0.000208\nstress_xy -0.000356 -0.000370 +0.000030 0.000167\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4853500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4848500.\n\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:50:46Z", "turn": 963, "cycle": 4888500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4888500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.5W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530000 0.529529 -0.001000 0.003200\nasymmetry 311.793000 312.065838 +0.624400 1.994600\nvel_mean 0.219229 0.221061 -0.001509 0.004228\nvel_max 0.286834 0.285378 +0.000590 0.006890\nvel_var 0.002592 0.002444 +0.000121 0.000341\nvorticity_mean 0.031897 0.027855 +0.005100 0.011216\nstress_xx -0.001069 -0.001042 -0.000039 0.000305\nstress_yy 0.001011 0.001004 +0.000026 0.000188\nstress_xy -0.000373 -0.000360 -0.000021 0.000157\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4858500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:51:56Z", "turn": 964, "cycle": 4893500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4893500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.3W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528800 0.529536 -0.001200 0.003200\nasymmetry 312.619100 312.133179 +0.797000 1.997900\nvel_mean 0.220002 0.221061 +0.000899 0.004174\nvel_max 0.287524 0.285279 +0.001956 0.007750\nvel_var 0.002470 0.002444 -0.000104 0.000347\nvorticity_mean 0.032515 0.027836 -0.000328 0.011064\nstress_xx -0.001040 -0.001033 +0.000052 0.000274\nstress_yy 0.000948 0.000990 -0.000117 0.000194\nstress_xy -0.000426 -0.000362 -0.000058 0.000145\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4863500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4858500.\n\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:53:03Z", "turn": 965, "cycle": 4898500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4898500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.0W util=29%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528100 0.529497 +0.000200 0.003100\nasymmetry 313.020600 312.233246 -0.247800 1.902000\nvel_mean 0.222583 0.221053 +0.001663 0.004181\nvel_max 0.285666 0.285427 -0.000799 0.006496\nvel_var 0.002292 0.002444 -0.000100 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.025991 0.027858 -0.005334 0.011198\nstress_xx -0.001030 -0.001039 +0.000029 0.000241\nstress_yy 0.001034 0.000988 +0.000102 0.000218\nstress_xy -0.000365 -0.000372 +0.000043 0.000170\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4868500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4863500.\n\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:54:12Z", "turn": 966, "cycle": 4903500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4903500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.5W util=27%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529700 0.529456 +0.000700 0.003100\nasymmetry 312.163200 312.330246 -0.384600 1.948700\nvel_mean 0.222391 0.221049 -0.000300 0.004189\nvel_max 0.283035 0.285476 -0.001458 0.006754\nvel_var 0.002422 0.002445 +0.000058 0.000348\nvorticity_mean 0.022402 0.027889 -0.001996 0.011215\nstress_xx -0.000956 -0.001047 +0.000101 0.000260\nstress_yy 0.001023 0.001003 -0.000044 0.000221\nstress_xy -0.000355 -0.000367 +0.000030 0.000153\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4873500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4868500.\n\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:55:22Z", "turn": 967, "cycle": 4908500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4908500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.0W util=25%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530700 0.529412 +0.000400 0.003200\nasymmetry 311.660500 312.429263 -0.245000 2.000100\nvel_mean 0.220568 0.221059 -0.001947 0.004197\nvel_max 0.286206 0.285404 +0.002944 0.007749\nvel_var 0.002491 0.002444 +0.000139 0.000347\nvorticity_mean 0.027070 0.027872 +0.004102 0.011104\nstress_xx -0.001039 -0.001043 -0.000079 0.000299\nstress_yy 0.000988 0.001004 -0.000047 0.000199\nstress_xy -0.000344 -0.000358 +0.000010 0.000162\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4878500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4873500.\n\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:56:30Z", "turn": 968, "cycle": 4913500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4913500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.6W util=23%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529700 0.529462 -0.001100 0.003300\nasymmetry 312.316200 312.472803 +0.689200 1.983500\nvel_mean 0.219102 0.221062 -0.000855 0.004241\nvel_max 0.286573 0.285336 +0.002786 0.006421\nvel_var 0.002578 0.002443 +0.000033 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.032891 0.027849 +0.004141 0.011179\nstress_xx -0.001040 -0.001031 +0.000016 0.000241\nstress_yy 0.000873 0.000988 -0.000127 0.000186\nstress_xy -0.000314 -0.000365 +0.000070 0.000159\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4883500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4878500.\n\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:57:41Z", "turn": 969, "cycle": 4918500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4918500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.5W util=17%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.527800 0.529432 -0.000800 0.003300\nasymmetry 313.619100 312.564320 +0.535300 1.993800\nvel_mean 0.220977 0.221059 +0.001512 0.004224\nvel_max 0.286681 0.285471 +0.000882 0.007215\nvel_var 0.002376 0.002444 -0.000143 0.000350\nvorticity_mean 0.031081 0.027840 -0.002193 0.011213\nstress_xx -0.001103 -0.001046 -0.000079 0.000278\nstress_yy 0.001021 0.000990 +0.000094 0.000206\nstress_xy -0.000371 -0.000372 +0.000036 0.000187\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4888500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4883500.\n\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:58:47Z", "turn": 970, "cycle": 4923500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4923500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.8W util=23%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529000 0.529421 +0.000500 0.003300\nasymmetry 312.854100 312.644246 -0.288300 1.983400\nvel_mean 0.222713 0.221046 +0.001414 0.004149\nvel_max 0.285039 0.285352 -0.001139 0.007032\nvel_var 0.002365 0.002445 -0.000043 0.000350\nvorticity_mean 0.024119 0.027873 -0.005444 0.011155\nstress_xx -0.000997 -0.001048 +0.000112 0.000281\nstress_yy 0.000983 0.001006 -0.000016 0.000179\nstress_xy -0.000345 -0.000360 +0.000058 0.000170\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4893500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4888500.\n\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T03:59:57Z", "turn": 971, "cycle": 4928500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4928500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.4W util=26%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530100 0.529341 +0.000700 0.003100\nasymmetry 312.332900 312.769613 -0.359100 1.930200\nvel_mean 0.222417 0.221049 -0.000659 0.004202\nvel_max 0.284880 0.285313 +0.000814 0.007171\nvel_var 0.002355 0.002445 +0.000028 0.000334\nvorticity_mean 0.023061 0.027888 +0.000007 0.011151\nstress_xx -0.001071 -0.001033 -0.000107 0.000253\nstress_yy 0.001020 0.001001 -0.000005 0.000204\nstress_xy -0.000353 -0.000359 +0.000018 0.000158\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4898500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4893500.\n\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:01:05Z", "turn": 972, "cycle": 4933500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4933500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.0W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530900 0.529293 +0.000400 0.003400\nasymmetry 311.943400 312.869313 -0.259100 2.079800\nvel_mean 0.219927 0.221065 -0.001404 0.004197\nvel_max 0.283608 0.285431 -0.000663 0.007136\nvel_var 0.002550 0.002443 +0.000103 0.000348\nvorticity_mean 0.029100 0.027864 +0.004866 0.011226\nstress_xx -0.000973 -0.001038 +0.000064 0.000284\nstress_yy 0.001002 0.000982 +0.000011 0.000211\nstress_xy -0.000301 -0.000370 +0.000029 0.000168\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4903500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4898500.\n\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:02:16Z", "turn": 973, "cycle": 4938500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4938500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.6W util=30%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528400 0.529313 -0.001500 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.525800 312.932080 +0.922900 1.930600\nvel_mean 0.219496 0.221065 -0.000058 0.004169\nvel_max 0.285081 0.285329 +0.000627 0.007401\nvel_var 0.002518 0.002443 -0.000025 0.000348\nvorticity_mean 0.033247 0.027837 +0.002864 0.011117\nstress_xx -0.001128 -0.001049 -0.000218 0.000304\nstress_yy 0.001005 0.000993 +0.000116 0.000214\nstress_xy -0.000375 -0.000368 -0.000081 0.000190\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4908500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4903500.\n\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:03:24Z", "turn": 974, "cycle": 4943500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4943500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.4W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528500 0.529314 -0.000100 0.003300\nasymmetry 313.533700 313.005326 +0.027900 1.997900\nvel_mean 0.221446 0.221054 +0.001980 0.004187\nvel_max 0.287964 0.285398 -0.000391 0.008186\nvel_var 0.002395 0.002444 -0.000141 0.000334\nvorticity_mean 0.029291 0.027847 -0.003769 0.011155\nstress_xx -0.001037 -0.001040 +0.000084 0.000273\nstress_yy 0.000965 0.001008 +0.000007 0.000204\nstress_xy -0.000354 -0.000358 +0.000096 0.000185\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4913500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4908500.\n\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:04:34Z", "turn": 975, "cycle": 4948500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4948500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.3W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529300 0.529273 +0.000300 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.052400 313.108073 -0.188900 1.970500\nvel_mean 0.223109 0.221048 +0.001057 0.004215\nvel_max 0.283733 0.285395 -0.002374 0.006776\nvel_var 0.002315 0.002445 -0.000058 0.000352\nvorticity_mean 0.022895 0.027879 -0.004734 0.011157\nstress_xx -0.001046 -0.001037 -0.000047 0.000320\nstress_yy 0.001045 0.000994 +0.000052 0.000200\nstress_xy -0.000334 -0.000364 -0.000001 0.000160\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4918500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4913500.\n\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:05:42Z", "turn": 976, "cycle": 4953500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4953500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.2W util=21%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530300 0.529303 +0.001300 0.003300\nasymmetry 312.577000 313.164014 -0.752900 2.046000\nvel_mean 0.221246 0.221044 -0.001615 0.004175\nvel_max 0.283065 0.285471 +0.000204 0.007377\nvel_var 0.002461 0.002444 +0.000152 0.000348\nvorticity_mean 0.024445 0.027897 +0.001767 0.011090\nstress_xx -0.000978 -0.001042 -0.000022 0.000253\nstress_yy 0.001052 0.000986 +0.000043 0.000205\nstress_xy -0.000367 -0.000369 -0.000035 0.000154\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4923500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4918500.\n\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:06:52Z", "turn": 977, "cycle": 4958500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4958500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.6W util=25%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529700 0.529249 -0.000500 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.019200 313.268124 +0.362300 1.966100\nvel_mean 0.219472 0.221053 -0.001262 0.004197\nvel_max 0.285915 0.285434 +0.002514 0.007473\nvel_var 0.002544 0.002444 +0.000012 0.000345\nvorticity_mean 0.030632 0.027868 +0.005154 0.011159\nstress_xx -0.001202 -0.001044 -0.000204 0.000306\nstress_yy 0.001033 0.001001 +0.000059 0.000240\nstress_xy -0.000453 -0.000364 -0.000073 0.000163\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4928500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4923500.\n\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:08:00Z", "turn": 978, "cycle": 4963500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4963500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.8W util=21%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528700 0.529209 -0.000500 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.817500 313.363822 +0.489000 2.010900\nvel_mean 0.219518 0.221060 +0.000154 0.004209\nvel_max 0.287517 0.285483 +0.000848 0.006972\nvel_var 0.002539 0.002444 -0.000012 0.000353\nvorticity_mean 0.033002 0.027834 +0.001090 0.011191\nstress_xx -0.001036 -0.001040 +0.000076 0.000303\nstress_yy 0.001003 0.001010 +0.000070 0.000191\nstress_xy -0.000340 -0.000358 -0.000003 0.000146\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4933500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4928500.\n\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:09:10Z", "turn": 979, "cycle": 4968500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4968500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.4W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528800 0.529196 -0.000200 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.668800 313.449836 +0.115600 1.955200\nvel_mean 0.222157 0.221052 +0.002016 0.004160\nvel_max 0.287306 0.285369 -0.000199 0.006397\nvel_var 0.002362 0.002445 -0.000118 0.000337\nvorticity_mean 0.027303 0.027850 -0.005093 0.011082\nstress_xx -0.001056 -0.001039 +0.000027 0.000256\nstress_yy 0.000985 0.000989 -0.000025 0.000202\nstress_xy -0.000383 -0.000363 -0.000068 0.000185\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4938500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4933500.\n\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:10:21Z", "turn": 980, "cycle": 4973500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4973500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.5W util=29%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529100 0.529138 +0.001000 0.003100\nasymmetry 313.635200 313.547461 -0.531900 1.946500\nvel_mean 0.222737 0.221042 -0.000143 0.004242\nvel_max 0.284577 0.285416 -0.001632 0.007357\nvel_var 0.002310 0.002445 +0.000050 0.000341\nvorticity_mean 0.022684 0.027887 -0.003038 0.011155\nstress_xx -0.001050 -0.001042 -0.000045 0.000302\nstress_yy 0.001064 0.000988 +0.000050 0.000228\nstress_xy -0.000344 -0.000369 +0.000002 0.000159\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4943500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4938500.\n\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:11:30Z", "turn": 981, "cycle": 4978500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4978500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.1W util=31%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530000 0.529112 +0.000800 0.003300\nasymmetry 313.070500 313.645632 -0.470500 1.971000\nvel_mean 0.220640 0.221047 -0.001397 0.004201\nvel_max 0.283433 0.285464 -0.000556 0.006813\nvel_var 0.002535 0.002445 +0.000114 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.025735 0.027887 +0.003033 0.011166\nstress_xx -0.000978 -0.001043 +0.000088 0.000240\nstress_yy 0.001028 0.001007 -0.000013 0.000207\nstress_xy -0.000344 -0.000363 +0.000028 0.000164\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4948500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4943500.\n\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:12:41Z", "turn": 982, "cycle": 4983500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4983500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.5W util=19%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529300 0.529089 -0.000800 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.701500 313.730720 +0.648900 1.939500\nvel_mean 0.219271 0.221056 -0.001375 0.004183\nvel_max 0.286173 0.285432 +0.000582 0.007195\nvel_var 0.002562 0.002444 +0.000085 0.000351\nvorticity_mean 0.032125 0.027853 +0.004868 0.011062\nstress_xx -0.001051 -0.001042 -0.000017 0.000295\nstress_yy 0.000994 0.001004 -0.000010 0.000161\nstress_xy -0.000397 -0.000360 -0.000022 0.000132\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4953500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4948500.\n\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:13:49Z", "turn": 983, "cycle": 4988500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4988500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=42C 42.0W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528900 0.529060 -0.000700 0.003300\nasymmetry 314.002900 313.821767 +0.445600 2.054300\nvel_mean 0.220271 0.221061 +0.001005 0.004187\nvel_max 0.287295 0.285477 +0.001001 0.006518\nvel_var 0.002464 0.002444 -0.000129 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.032232 0.027835 -0.000862 0.011157\nstress_xx -0.001104 -0.001037 -0.000011 0.000281\nstress_yy 0.000953 0.000988 -0.000078 0.000208\nstress_xy -0.000434 -0.000363 -0.000080 0.000156\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4958500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4953500.\n\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:15:00Z", "turn": 984, "cycle": 4993500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4993500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=42C 41.4W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528100 0.529060 +0.000400 0.003200\nasymmetry 314.514700 313.893947 -0.129000 1.903000\nvel_mean 0.222972 0.221047 +0.002100 0.004212\nvel_max 0.285674 0.285397 -0.001387 0.006542\nvel_var 0.002254 0.002445 -0.000150 0.000349\nvorticity_mean 0.025481 0.027864 -0.005503 0.011218\nstress_xx -0.001023 -0.001044 +0.000028 0.000243\nstress_yy 0.001046 0.000995 +0.000061 0.000218\nstress_xy -0.000341 -0.000369 +0.000069 0.000166\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4963500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4958500.\n\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:16:09Z", "turn": 985, "cycle": 4998500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=4998500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 44.3W util=37%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529200 0.529066 +0.001200 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.897900 313.968559 -0.637300 1.948300\nvel_mean 0.222009 0.221037 -0.000583 0.004188\nvel_max 0.282611 0.285411 -0.001928 0.007087\nvel_var 0.002425 0.002445 +0.000081 0.000347\nvorticity_mean 0.022732 0.027894 -0.001412 0.011136\nstress_xx -0.000966 -0.001045 +0.000069 0.000254\nstress_yy 0.000989 0.001008 -0.000061 0.000186\nstress_xy -0.000360 -0.000364 -0.000004 0.000153\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4968500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4963500.\n\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:17:21Z", "turn": 986, "cycle": 5003500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5003500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.8W util=18%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530100 0.529010 +0.000300 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.482800 314.076891 -0.121100 1.979800\nvel_mean 0.220546 0.221050 -0.001515 0.004200\nvel_max 0.285070 0.285375 +0.001130 0.006955\nvel_var 0.002486 0.002445 +0.000062 0.000339\nvorticity_mean 0.027572 0.027881 +0.004464 0.011156\nstress_xx -0.001066 -0.001041 -0.000084 0.000297\nstress_yy 0.000991 0.001000 -0.000070 0.000206\nstress_xy -0.000335 -0.000362 +0.000015 0.000166\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4973500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4968500.\n\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:18:30Z", "turn": 987, "cycle": 5008500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5008500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 52.4W util=41%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529200 0.528996 -0.001100 0.003400\nasymmetry 314.021400 314.160476 +0.668000 2.074700\nvel_mean 0.219228 0.221061 -0.000591 0.004206\nvel_max 0.286539 0.285389 +0.002355 0.006576\nvel_var 0.002597 0.002444 +0.000028 0.000356\nvorticity_mean 0.033184 0.027848 +0.004043 0.011201\nstress_xx -0.001127 -0.001035 -0.000089 0.000235\nstress_yy 0.000898 0.000986 -0.000085 0.000199\nstress_xy -0.000362 -0.000367 +0.000011 0.000169\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4978500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4973500.\n\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:19:41Z", "turn": 988, "cycle": 5013500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5013500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 51.1W util=60%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.527500 0.528965 -0.001100 0.003300\nasymmetry 315.110700 314.247079 +0.656900 1.946500\nvel_mean 0.221029 0.221059 +0.001846 0.004127\nvel_max 0.285464 0.285338 -0.001185 0.007975\nvel_var 0.002392 0.002444 -0.000132 0.000351\nvorticity_mean 0.030678 0.027841 -0.002687 0.011045\nstress_xx -0.001093 -0.001045 -0.000017 0.000316\nstress_yy 0.001026 0.000999 +0.000165 0.000235\nstress_xy -0.000354 -0.000369 +0.000092 0.000165\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4983500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4978500.\n\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:20:53Z", "turn": 989, "cycle": 5018500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5018500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=44C 52.6W util=28%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528100 0.528925 +0.000600 0.003200\nasymmetry 314.891300 314.350174 -0.294800 1.962900\nvel_mean 0.222607 0.221046 +0.000945 0.004187\nvel_max 0.283975 0.285385 -0.002247 0.006769\nvel_var 0.002352 0.002445 +0.000011 0.000341\nvorticity_mean 0.023932 0.027870 -0.005263 0.011181\nstress_xx -0.000970 -0.001047 +0.000125 0.000258\nstress_yy 0.000964 0.001008 -0.000043 0.000202\nstress_xy -0.000368 -0.000358 +0.000006 0.000160\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4988500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4983500.\n\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:21:56Z", "turn": 990, "cycle": 5023500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5023500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.0W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529600 0.528929 +0.000700 0.003400\nasymmetry 314.009500 314.419766 -0.326400 1.996500\nvel_mean 0.222022 0.221044 -0.000822 0.004198\nvel_max 0.283941 0.285419 -0.001044 0.006633\nvel_var 0.002420 0.002445 +0.000038 0.000350\nvorticity_mean 0.023257 0.027898 +0.000449 0.011174\nstress_xx -0.001054 -0.001039 -0.000121 0.000272\nstress_yy 0.000978 0.000993 -0.000062 0.000202\nstress_xy -0.000395 -0.000359 -0.000017 0.000164\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4993500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4988500.\n\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:23:07Z", "turn": 991, "cycle": 5028500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5028500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.1W util=30%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530100 0.528873 -0.000100 0.003200\nasymmetry 313.795400 314.525798 +0.070900 1.959200\nvel_mean 0.219783 0.221062 -0.001872 0.004116\nvel_max 0.285904 0.285356 +0.001756 0.007724\nvel_var 0.002564 0.002444 +0.000162 0.000342\nvorticity_mean 0.029516 0.027869 +0.005109 0.011047\nstress_xx -0.001038 -0.001040 +0.000016 0.000265\nstress_yy 0.001010 0.000990 +0.000032 0.000196\nstress_xy -0.000335 -0.000372 +0.000031 0.000175\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 4998500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4993500.\n\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:24:13Z", "turn": 992, "cycle": 5033500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5033500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 43.2W util=56%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528400 0.528872 -0.001400 0.003200\nasymmetry 314.913900 314.602553 +0.951900 1.967400\nvel_mean 0.219277 0.221067 -0.000124 0.004199\nvel_max 0.288119 0.285396 +0.001800 0.006455\nvel_var 0.002526 0.002443 -0.000043 0.000338\nvorticity_mean 0.033382 0.027837 +0.002507 0.011180\nstress_xx -0.001095 -0.001049 -0.000085 0.000259\nstress_yy 0.001059 0.001002 +0.000147 0.000222\nstress_xy -0.000328 -0.000366 +0.000002 0.000165\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5003500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:25:21Z", "turn": 993, "cycle": 5038500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5038500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 44.3W util=41%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.527400 0.528841 -0.000200 0.003100\nasymmetry 315.597700 314.692717 +0.083500 1.915700\nvel_mean 0.221812 0.221059 +0.001919 0.004215\nvel_max 0.288427 0.285361 +0.002232 0.006818\nvel_var 0.002333 0.002444 -0.000140 0.000342\nvorticity_mean 0.028917 0.027844 -0.003994 0.011192\nstress_xx -0.001013 -0.001041 +0.000104 0.000311\nstress_yy 0.000975 0.001010 -0.000023 0.000188\nstress_xy -0.000384 -0.000358 -0.000017 0.000126\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5008500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:26:30Z", "turn": 994, "cycle": 5043500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5043500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=45C 79.6W util=11%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528800 0.528855 +0.000400 0.003300\nasymmetry 314.741900 314.760291 -0.252500 2.042300\nvel_mean 0.222833 0.221044 +0.000585 0.004110\nvel_max 0.283455 0.285516 -0.003182 0.007338\nvel_var 0.002376 0.002444 +0.000020 0.000343\nvorticity_mean 0.022687 0.027886 -0.004471 0.011081\nstress_xx -0.001080 -0.001037 -0.000082 0.000290\nstress_yy 0.001063 0.000993 +0.000095 0.000208\nstress_xy -0.000364 -0.000363 -0.000009 0.000163\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5013500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:27:40Z", "turn": 995, "cycle": 5048500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5048500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.6W util=28%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.530000 0.528798 +0.000900 0.003300\nasymmetry 314.102100 314.869174 -0.578200 2.012300\nvel_mean 0.221517 0.221051 -0.001607 0.004198\nvel_max 0.285154 0.285399 +0.000904 0.006229\nvel_var 0.002423 0.002444 +0.000128 0.000344\nvorticity_mean 0.024636 0.027888 +0.002216 0.011145\nstress_xx -0.000975 -0.001046 +0.000043 0.000277\nstress_yy 0.001044 0.000992 +0.000023 0.000230\nstress_xy -0.000347 -0.000370 -0.000028 0.000164\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5018500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:28:47Z", "turn": 996, "cycle": 5053500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5053500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 43.0W util=34%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529600 0.528788 -0.000400 0.003300\nasymmetry 314.441400 314.947529 +0.229400 1.981700\nvel_mean 0.219266 0.221058 -0.001373 0.004214\nvel_max 0.285235 0.285509 +0.000749 0.007396\nvel_var 0.002573 0.002443 +0.000063 0.000346\nvorticity_mean 0.031121 0.027864 +0.005052 0.011159\nstress_xx -0.001085 -0.001051 -0.000117 0.000254\nstress_yy 0.001029 0.001006 +0.000047 0.000197\nstress_xy -0.000419 -0.000362 -0.000092 0.000137\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5023500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5048500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:29:58Z", "turn": 997, "cycle": 5058500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5058500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 41.6W util=21%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.527500 0.528756 -0.001100 0.003200\nasymmetry 315.906800 315.042747 +0.782500 1.960700\nvel_mean 0.219933 0.221064 +0.000511 0.004155\nvel_max 0.286891 0.285339 +0.000419 0.007238\nvel_var 0.002470 0.002444 -0.000063 0.000337\nvorticity_mean 0.032733 0.027834 +0.000520 0.011102\nstress_xx -0.001058 -0.001040 +0.000086 0.000306\nstress_yy 0.000916 0.001005 -0.000076 0.000155\nstress_xy -0.000407 -0.000360 -0.000018 0.000169\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5028500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5048500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5053500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:31:04Z", "turn": 998, "cycle": 5063500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5063500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 43.8W util=41%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.528200 0.528740 +0.000000 0.003200\nasymmetry 315.416300 315.127271 -0.017400 1.920700\nvel_mean 0.222364 0.221052 +0.002077 0.004232\nvel_max 0.285740 0.285389 -0.001494 0.006569\nvel_var 0.002362 0.002445 -0.000141 0.000354\nvorticity_mean 0.026824 0.027855 -0.005197 0.011143\nstress_xx -0.001078 -0.001041 -0.000017 0.000278\nstress_yy 0.001031 0.000990 +0.000037 0.000179\nstress_xy -0.000410 -0.000368 -0.000068 0.000163\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5033500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5048500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5053500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5058500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:32:10Z", "turn": 999, "cycle": 5068500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5068500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 53.2W util=28%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529100 0.528720 +0.000900 0.003100\nasymmetry 315.085900 315.215446 -0.334000 1.951900\nvel_mean 0.223049 0.221043 +0.000251 0.004238\nvel_max 0.283438 0.285510 -0.001809 0.007409\nvel_var 0.002297 0.002445 -0.000017 0.000351\nvorticity_mean 0.022446 0.027888 -0.002731 0.011187\nstress_xx -0.001009 -0.001046 +0.000036 0.000293\nstress_yy 0.001033 0.000997 -0.000019 0.000227\nstress_xy -0.000347 -0.000369 +0.000018 0.000183\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5038500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5048500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5053500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5058500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5063500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
{"ts": "2026-06-07T04:33:18Z", "turn": 1000, "cycle": 5073500, "model": "gemma3:4b", "prompt": "CURRENT WINDOW (200 frames):\ncycle=5073500 omega=1.97 khra=0.03 gixx=0.008\ngpu=43C 42.1W util=20%\n\nmetric now mean delta range\n----------------------------------------------------------\ncoherence 0.529800 0.528709 +0.000800 0.003200\nasymmetry 314.609300 315.293180 -0.530600 1.922900\nvel_mean 0.220508 0.221045 -0.001497 0.004188\nvel_max 0.283622 0.285365 -0.000248 0.006959\nvel_var 0.002518 0.002445 +0.000111 0.000347\nvorticity_mean 0.026356 0.027889 +0.003438 0.011148\nstress_xx -0.001096 -0.001046 -0.000048 0.000280\nstress_yy 0.001010 0.001012 -0.000051 0.000177\nstress_xy -0.000357 -0.000359 +0.000060 0.000146\n\nPAST OBSERVATIONS (most recent last):\n[cycle 5043500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5048500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5053500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5058500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5063500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\n[cycle 5068500] Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500.\n\nWhat patterns do you see? What is repeating or changing?", "response": "Asymmetry exceeds the baseline range of 12.1..12.6 by 0.267900, starting at cycle 3418500, consistently across the last 10 cycles at cycle 4998500."}
traj/univariate_sweep.csv
+71
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@@ -0,0 +1,71 @@
variable,h_min,n,pearson_abs,spearman_abs,pearson_sign,spearman_sign
trade_count,5,43188,0.29084808877512586,0.30338059654130406,0.009367664894769086,0.01135154947599645
trade_count,15,43178,0.22449339529970128,0.24606697818019868,0.009715555202732436,0.013504663527115381
trade_count,30,43163,0.18318849647643348,0.21906835909888625,0.013614184798569812,0.019380256179634202
trade_count,60,43133,0.17359913046416903,0.21466447498410723,0.025394056049529334,0.0222503296589304
trade_count,120,43073,0.12045423850385305,0.1739862919797016,0.03777182644026453,0.04536759141602447
trade_count,240,42953,0.08403548128790972,0.1405906517498335,0.03609894280845403,0.043252386190147686
trade_count,480,42713,0.04998117877763748,0.10715535309039456,0.07849361788656997,0.09210648997736474
trade_count,720,42473,0.016421736547688776,0.0759992758922838,0.0461091622293512,0.0595238436422266
trade_count,1440,41753,0.07266933050462898,0.11116548055317421,0.015279767231791171,0.013436487932121986
trade_count,2880,40313,0.024186997130018737,0.04787510362328712,-0.06266207758302834,-0.10811855782272284
taker_buy_usd,5,43188,0.175501712243875,0.21412307437868922,0.011446739700667398,0.020939240335340187
taker_buy_usd,15,43178,0.13459881955486605,0.17263121676841225,0.006144770364627806,0.01183387062474232
taker_buy_usd,30,43163,0.11144645830071918,0.15266255531391745,0.0028862840403573076,0.012031274203791785
taker_buy_usd,60,43133,0.10190022972139968,0.1474329413444216,0.012532093700508451,0.020913426754444485
taker_buy_usd,120,43073,0.07013292383422702,0.11375636251437164,0.017853072221676158,0.026567162256118253
taker_buy_usd,240,42953,0.051741656796003996,0.09646377624339462,0.013232831827260325,0.02608835999719416
taker_buy_usd,480,42713,0.03175097234663664,0.06715300936606741,0.029899178956919344,0.046427070928094075
taker_buy_usd,720,42473,0.013661689701049418,0.04600223525188893,0.005750057370208876,0.025603552942293446
taker_buy_usd,1440,41753,0.0343229480548925,0.06727631344824285,-0.013091760498019933,-0.01767110060377504
taker_buy_usd,2880,40313,0.017288530813381903,0.02287784867455251,-0.03967985100999296,-0.08007533802675536
taker_sell_usd,5,43188,0.14741271571835068,0.21939202045890668,-0.002196140250542373,-0.007273512049912772
taker_sell_usd,15,43178,0.11341305658444842,0.17795845468577798,0.005967777130511283,0.005022961414276795
taker_sell_usd,30,43163,0.08554892755582855,0.1545239224690868,0.010299876566274888,0.01692852551055059
taker_sell_usd,60,43133,0.09167466563111203,0.15324816103598551,0.017075798008644397,0.0191173287410221
taker_sell_usd,120,43073,0.05996782943406935,0.11933709106431195,0.014993593572976069,0.02256679108062479
taker_sell_usd,240,42953,0.04173099656955321,0.10097408045466352,0.016987367607556394,0.028935132742975416
taker_sell_usd,480,42713,0.02083223098252148,0.0722499246597688,0.026143421172152737,0.05594653482579432
taker_sell_usd,720,42473,0.008524259752455722,0.05136966080758628,0.007113048310065848,0.03449935815279924
taker_sell_usd,1440,41753,0.031899776341424664,0.05416960901443685,-0.010489065245497767,-0.016993911073495616
taker_sell_usd,2880,40313,0.016027191257321508,0.015670732194170305,-0.036203522446596956,-0.059785985456566666
large_print_cnt,5,43188,0.1559475264217635,0.169775908243783,0.005060420709940062,0.008631801330461519
large_print_cnt,15,43178,0.11866248724189354,0.13443311792893725,0.006569728713564466,0.008514772214473132
large_print_cnt,30,43163,0.09402245225036947,0.12135237152952111,0.0050733025951419305,0.01424021646139622
large_print_cnt,60,43133,0.09146462602219622,0.10865230330187663,0.01266334820670589,0.015606861532317069
large_print_cnt,120,43073,0.05950269180079956,0.07791478813686888,0.01508362494568124,0.012302462629196115
large_print_cnt,240,42953,0.04447698202796127,0.06625505338933363,0.013113099876235924,0.007792327750853025
large_print_cnt,480,42713,0.025616295547105743,0.044859319760468724,0.027266366253546764,0.02733302613837301
large_print_cnt,720,42473,0.011964256701542495,0.03802841266492854,0.003517279702491538,0.004941522228167043
large_print_cnt,1440,41753,0.035890333778554724,0.051215192651722634,-0.010252923349727388,-0.030445235491122505
large_print_cnt,2880,40313,0.018582719136318784,0.028235149923244406,-0.035745556847394215,-0.052024102177047726
wallet_entropy,5,43188,0.2172245075484896,0.2202721386887404,0.0010594927712867987,-0.00016544528651093643
wallet_entropy,15,43178,0.16554787529624865,0.16906015959090057,0.0020961786511613767,0.0020440487375127567
wallet_entropy,30,43163,0.1420899269853192,0.15293696605150295,0.00853465544856008,0.008885086337329803
wallet_entropy,60,43133,0.14904144923070242,0.16903351042340448,0.011153090394192548,0.004221233410506838
wallet_entropy,120,43073,0.11004001418519521,0.13387839444737537,0.017150167828852966,0.010640728169212512
wallet_entropy,240,42953,0.0635026580792364,0.0859165509733388,0.014227184271459137,0.005681502065000248
wallet_entropy,480,42713,0.03283680409340406,0.06486435372100414,0.04736498255954015,0.04424847405159275
wallet_entropy,720,42473,-0.004388751683929966,0.03260594529690234,0.03684808072913329,0.03627427255300405
wallet_entropy,1440,41753,0.06023312896054602,0.05105843142615276,0.014570412524897559,0.008752264752817842
wallet_entropy,2880,40313,0.014794576708267507,0.0036219541217630226,-0.022759282112149164,-0.03178614079393125
signed_flow_usd,5,43188,0.022121542425133933,0.004383094477477341,0.010953252386180603,0.01682079452373203
signed_flow_usd,15,43178,0.016678695361172516,-0.0013050248481464109,0.0001251471109106814,-0.002661387945648965
signed_flow_usd,30,43163,0.020536769677455085,0.0032051056960534664,-0.005977828517891595,-0.00662809503420858
signed_flow_usd,60,43133,0.007948204103204038,-0.0023229250762158817,-0.00369373737267021,7.17861042528298e-05
signed_flow_usd,120,43073,0.007988310515146833,-0.00220728558630115,0.0022523904178357386,0.0008197738532494157
signed_flow_usd,240,42953,0.00790778856917309,0.0005526657827925845,-0.00306249240921628,-0.005954999727036032
signed_flow_usd,480,42713,0.008702007042840262,0.0025655940430958633,0.002938758286765933,-0.00554461843411232
signed_flow_usd,720,42473,0.004101949757469398,0.0010599612072528203,-0.0011124949860009054,-0.008078962227491826
signed_flow_usd,1440,41753,0.0018136179543969371,0.012631548879216154,-0.0020436312287218147,-0.0019657802874225943
signed_flow_usd,2880,40313,0.0010733863771821492,0.00020889997532988908,-0.00292914120260173,-0.01576572965924503
vwap_drift,5,43188,0.0153796249271232,-0.004742467230203223,0.1122235041844304,0.12185124677838041
vwap_drift,15,43178,0.013416009980627187,-0.0021867517632438273,0.06416214401365389,0.07203435864155383
vwap_drift,30,43163,0.018134348479207425,0.001686666238069892,0.04506094300341093,0.05297819628911598
vwap_drift,60,43133,0.011856729126127431,-0.0006186089927528343,0.027808770780405483,0.03516756704668603
vwap_drift,120,43073,0.008699532100719309,0.0006216347777252788,0.018604301213996616,0.021567236493666986
vwap_drift,240,42953,0.005619388499386541,0.0033448678389474606,0.012511845992274983,0.015941717525206758
vwap_drift,480,42713,0.0063049582996615415,0.0025704548186980406,0.00942434276884031,0.007873377316712286
vwap_drift,720,42473,0.0013490759910639593,-0.004969536418820951,0.0068917208737160245,0.005209329690444714
vwap_drift,1440,41753,-0.00023947516231745896,-0.00474732667432172,0.006532044119246129,0.00739022618458122
vwap_drift,2880,40313,0.0014622536727193429,0.002668517490504378,0.005840358437315306,0.002744174307719366
1 variable h_min n pearson_abs spearman_abs pearson_sign spearman_sign
2 trade_count 5 43188 0.29084808877512586 0.30338059654130406 0.009367664894769086 0.01135154947599645
3 trade_count 15 43178 0.22449339529970128 0.24606697818019868 0.009715555202732436 0.013504663527115381
4 trade_count 30 43163 0.18318849647643348 0.21906835909888625 0.013614184798569812 0.019380256179634202
5 trade_count 60 43133 0.17359913046416903 0.21466447498410723 0.025394056049529334 0.0222503296589304
6 trade_count 120 43073 0.12045423850385305 0.1739862919797016 0.03777182644026453 0.04536759141602447
7 trade_count 240 42953 0.08403548128790972 0.1405906517498335 0.03609894280845403 0.043252386190147686
8 trade_count 480 42713 0.04998117877763748 0.10715535309039456 0.07849361788656997 0.09210648997736474
9 trade_count 720 42473 0.016421736547688776 0.0759992758922838 0.0461091622293512 0.0595238436422266
10 trade_count 1440 41753 0.07266933050462898 0.11116548055317421 0.015279767231791171 0.013436487932121986
11 trade_count 2880 40313 0.024186997130018737 0.04787510362328712 -0.06266207758302834 -0.10811855782272284
12 taker_buy_usd 5 43188 0.175501712243875 0.21412307437868922 0.011446739700667398 0.020939240335340187
13 taker_buy_usd 15 43178 0.13459881955486605 0.17263121676841225 0.006144770364627806 0.01183387062474232
14 taker_buy_usd 30 43163 0.11144645830071918 0.15266255531391745 0.0028862840403573076 0.012031274203791785
15 taker_buy_usd 60 43133 0.10190022972139968 0.1474329413444216 0.012532093700508451 0.020913426754444485
16 taker_buy_usd 120 43073 0.07013292383422702 0.11375636251437164 0.017853072221676158 0.026567162256118253
17 taker_buy_usd 240 42953 0.051741656796003996 0.09646377624339462 0.013232831827260325 0.02608835999719416
18 taker_buy_usd 480 42713 0.03175097234663664 0.06715300936606741 0.029899178956919344 0.046427070928094075
19 taker_buy_usd 720 42473 0.013661689701049418 0.04600223525188893 0.005750057370208876 0.025603552942293446
20 taker_buy_usd 1440 41753 0.0343229480548925 0.06727631344824285 -0.013091760498019933 -0.01767110060377504
21 taker_buy_usd 2880 40313 0.017288530813381903 0.02287784867455251 -0.03967985100999296 -0.08007533802675536
22 taker_sell_usd 5 43188 0.14741271571835068 0.21939202045890668 -0.002196140250542373 -0.007273512049912772
23 taker_sell_usd 15 43178 0.11341305658444842 0.17795845468577798 0.005967777130511283 0.005022961414276795
24 taker_sell_usd 30 43163 0.08554892755582855 0.1545239224690868 0.010299876566274888 0.01692852551055059
25 taker_sell_usd 60 43133 0.09167466563111203 0.15324816103598551 0.017075798008644397 0.0191173287410221
26 taker_sell_usd 120 43073 0.05996782943406935 0.11933709106431195 0.014993593572976069 0.02256679108062479
27 taker_sell_usd 240 42953 0.04173099656955321 0.10097408045466352 0.016987367607556394 0.028935132742975416
28 taker_sell_usd 480 42713 0.02083223098252148 0.0722499246597688 0.026143421172152737 0.05594653482579432
29 taker_sell_usd 720 42473 0.008524259752455722 0.05136966080758628 0.007113048310065848 0.03449935815279924
30 taker_sell_usd 1440 41753 0.031899776341424664 0.05416960901443685 -0.010489065245497767 -0.016993911073495616
31 taker_sell_usd 2880 40313 0.016027191257321508 0.015670732194170305 -0.036203522446596956 -0.059785985456566666
32 large_print_cnt 5 43188 0.1559475264217635 0.169775908243783 0.005060420709940062 0.008631801330461519
33 large_print_cnt 15 43178 0.11866248724189354 0.13443311792893725 0.006569728713564466 0.008514772214473132
34 large_print_cnt 30 43163 0.09402245225036947 0.12135237152952111 0.0050733025951419305 0.01424021646139622
35 large_print_cnt 60 43133 0.09146462602219622 0.10865230330187663 0.01266334820670589 0.015606861532317069
36 large_print_cnt 120 43073 0.05950269180079956 0.07791478813686888 0.01508362494568124 0.012302462629196115
37 large_print_cnt 240 42953 0.04447698202796127 0.06625505338933363 0.013113099876235924 0.007792327750853025
38 large_print_cnt 480 42713 0.025616295547105743 0.044859319760468724 0.027266366253546764 0.02733302613837301
39 large_print_cnt 720 42473 0.011964256701542495 0.03802841266492854 0.003517279702491538 0.004941522228167043
40 large_print_cnt 1440 41753 0.035890333778554724 0.051215192651722634 -0.010252923349727388 -0.030445235491122505
41 large_print_cnt 2880 40313 0.018582719136318784 0.028235149923244406 -0.035745556847394215 -0.052024102177047726
42 wallet_entropy 5 43188 0.2172245075484896 0.2202721386887404 0.0010594927712867987 -0.00016544528651093643
43 wallet_entropy 15 43178 0.16554787529624865 0.16906015959090057 0.0020961786511613767 0.0020440487375127567
44 wallet_entropy 30 43163 0.1420899269853192 0.15293696605150295 0.00853465544856008 0.008885086337329803
45 wallet_entropy 60 43133 0.14904144923070242 0.16903351042340448 0.011153090394192548 0.004221233410506838
46 wallet_entropy 120 43073 0.11004001418519521 0.13387839444737537 0.017150167828852966 0.010640728169212512
47 wallet_entropy 240 42953 0.0635026580792364 0.0859165509733388 0.014227184271459137 0.005681502065000248
48 wallet_entropy 480 42713 0.03283680409340406 0.06486435372100414 0.04736498255954015 0.04424847405159275
49 wallet_entropy 720 42473 -0.004388751683929966 0.03260594529690234 0.03684808072913329 0.03627427255300405
50 wallet_entropy 1440 41753 0.06023312896054602 0.05105843142615276 0.014570412524897559 0.008752264752817842
51 wallet_entropy 2880 40313 0.014794576708267507 0.0036219541217630226 -0.022759282112149164 -0.03178614079393125
52 signed_flow_usd 5 43188 0.022121542425133933 0.004383094477477341 0.010953252386180603 0.01682079452373203
53 signed_flow_usd 15 43178 0.016678695361172516 -0.0013050248481464109 0.0001251471109106814 -0.002661387945648965
54 signed_flow_usd 30 43163 0.020536769677455085 0.0032051056960534664 -0.005977828517891595 -0.00662809503420858
55 signed_flow_usd 60 43133 0.007948204103204038 -0.0023229250762158817 -0.00369373737267021 7.17861042528298e-05
56 signed_flow_usd 120 43073 0.007988310515146833 -0.00220728558630115 0.0022523904178357386 0.0008197738532494157
57 signed_flow_usd 240 42953 0.00790778856917309 0.0005526657827925845 -0.00306249240921628 -0.005954999727036032
58 signed_flow_usd 480 42713 0.008702007042840262 0.0025655940430958633 0.002938758286765933 -0.00554461843411232
59 signed_flow_usd 720 42473 0.004101949757469398 0.0010599612072528203 -0.0011124949860009054 -0.008078962227491826
60 signed_flow_usd 1440 41753 0.0018136179543969371 0.012631548879216154 -0.0020436312287218147 -0.0019657802874225943
61 signed_flow_usd 2880 40313 0.0010733863771821492 0.00020889997532988908 -0.00292914120260173 -0.01576572965924503
62 vwap_drift 5 43188 0.0153796249271232 -0.004742467230203223 0.1122235041844304 0.12185124677838041
63 vwap_drift 15 43178 0.013416009980627187 -0.0021867517632438273 0.06416214401365389 0.07203435864155383
64 vwap_drift 30 43163 0.018134348479207425 0.001686666238069892 0.04506094300341093 0.05297819628911598
65 vwap_drift 60 43133 0.011856729126127431 -0.0006186089927528343 0.027808770780405483 0.03516756704668603
66 vwap_drift 120 43073 0.008699532100719309 0.0006216347777252788 0.018604301213996616 0.021567236493666986
67 vwap_drift 240 42953 0.005619388499386541 0.0033448678389474606 0.012511845992274983 0.015941717525206758
68 vwap_drift 480 42713 0.0063049582996615415 0.0025704548186980406 0.00942434276884031 0.007873377316712286
69 vwap_drift 720 42473 0.0013490759910639593 -0.004969536418820951 0.0068917208737160245 0.005209329690444714
70 vwap_drift 1440 41753 -0.00023947516231745896 -0.00474732667432172 0.006532044119246129 0.00739022618458122
71 vwap_drift 2880 40313 0.0014622536727193429 0.002668517490504378 0.005840358437315306 0.002744174307719366
variable_audit.py
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View File
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import pandas as pd, numpy as np, glob
files = sorted(glob.glob('/mnt/d/PaperTrader/research/hl_data/minutes/202603*/*.parquet'))
dfs = [pd.read_parquet(f) for f in files]
df = pd.concat(dfs, ignore_index=True)
btc = df[df.coin=='BTC'].sort_values('minute').reset_index(drop=True)
print('rows:', len(btc), ' cols:', list(btc.columns))
for h in [60, 240, 720, 1440, 2880]:
btc[f'fwd_{h}'] = (btc['mid_price'].shift(-h)/btc['mid_price']-1).abs()*10000
print()
print('CORRELATION WITH abs forward return:')
print(f'{'var':<22} h=60 h=240 h=720 h=1440 h=2880')
for col in ['signed_flow_usd','taker_buy_usd','taker_sell_usd','trade_count','large_print_cnt','wallet_entropy','vwap_drift']:
if col in ['taker_buy_usd','taker_sell_usd','trade_count']:
x = np.log1p(btc[col].abs())
elif col == 'large_print_cnt':
x = np.log1p(btc[col])
else:
x = btc[col]
row = f'{col:<22}'
for h in [60,240,720,1440,2880]:
m = btc[f'fwd_{h}'].notna() & x.notna()
r = np.corrcoef(x[m], btc[f'fwd_{h}'][m])[0,1]
row += f' {r:+.3f}'
print(row)